Cybernetics And Systems Analysis
International Theoretical Science
Journal
The author solves the problem of modeling outbreaks of a species, which begins with the achievement of specific non-trivial state of a dynamic system. Population process is divided into a sequence of substantially different stages. The model simulates the effect of spontaneous transition from weak to acceleration fluctuations of reproductive activity followed by the phase of rapid spontaneous decay. To describe the transition between final stages of the outbreak, the method of controlled functional realization of metamorphoses of trajectory behavior is used. Differential equations are combined with predicative constructions in software environment. The original computational unit based on discrete-continuous time allows us to apply the scenario approach to the assessment of environmental situations. To study such discrete-continuous models, AnyLogic5 computing environment with support for language Java are used, where the developer can enter your own data types as interfaces. Figs.: 3. Tabl.: 0. Refs: 16 titles.
Переварюха Андрей Юрьевич, кандидат техн. наук, старший научный сотрудник Санкт-Петербургского института информатики и автоматизации РАН, Россия,
e-mail: temp_elf@mail.ru
