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Cybernetics And Systems Analysis
International Theoretical Science Journal
UDC 519.86:51.77:330.5.057.7:336
O. Yastremskii1


1 State Educational-Scientific Establishment “The Academy of Financial Management”, Kyiv, Ukraine

yast2005@ukr.net

INPUT-OUTPUT CHESSBOARD OF UNCERTAINTY AND ITS APPLICATIONS:
FORECASTING, ECONOMIC POLICY, FISCAL RISK, GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM

Abstract. The paper proposes the methods of uncertainty input-output chessboard construction. Using real data, volatility of Direct Requirements, the interindustries flows of uncertainty are computed. Different applications are discussed. Among them are: general equilibrium, fiscal risk, stability of the national economy, entrepreneurship.

Keywords: input-output scheme, uncertainty, volatility, chessboard of uncertainty, national economyrigidity, uncertainty transmission.



FULL TEXT

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