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Cybernetics And Systems Analysis
International Theoretical Science Journal
UDC 330.4:[338.33:631.58]
O.M. Borodina1, S.V. Kyryzyuk2, O.V. Fraier3, Y.M. Ermoliev4,
T.Y. Ermolieva5, P.S. Knopov6, V.M. Gorbachuk7



1 Institute for Economics and Forecasting of National Academy
of Sciences of Ukraine, Kyiv

olena.borodina@gmail.com

2 Institute for Economics and Forecasting of National Academy
of Sciences of Ukraine, Kyiv

kyryzyuk.ief@gmail.com

3 Institute for Economics and Forecasting of National Academy
of Sciences of Ukraine, Kyiv

oleksiyvf@gmail.com

4 Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria

ermoliev@iiasa.ac.at

5 Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria

ermol@iiasa.ac.at

6 V.M. Glushkov Institute of Cybernetics, National Academy
of Sciences of Ukraine, Kyiv, Ukraine

Knopov1@yahoo.com

7 V.M. Glushkov Institute of Cybernetics, National Academy
of Sciences of Ukraine, Kyiv, Ukraine

GorbachukVasyl@netscape.net

MATHEMATIC MODELLING OF AGRICULTURAL CROP DIVERSIFICATION IN UKRAINE:
SCIENTIFIC APPROACHES AND EMPIRICAL RESULTS

Abstract. The paper describes the model of agricultural crop diversification, which is based on simulation modeling and robust solutions. The model is aimed at the design and development of the optimal structure of crop areas for a harmonious combination of these crops with a gradual transition to the principles of sustainable development in domestic agriculture. A detailed analysis of monocultural production in modern practice was conducted. Performed calculations allowed suggesting diversified crop structure consisting of 10 crops ensuring food sovereignty and harmonization of agricultural development in ecological, social and economic terms.

Keywords: stochastic model of optimization, model of agricultural crop diversification, corporate sector, structure of sown areas.



FULL TEXT

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