UDC 338.2:338.3:338.4:330.5
1 State Educational-Scientific Establishment "The Academy of Financial Management," Kyiv, Ukraine
sgasanov@ukr.net
|
|
3 State Educational-Scientific Establishment "The Academy of Financial Management," Kyiv, Ukraine
volodymyr_kulyk@ukr.net
|
|
SYSTEMS ANALYSIS AND MODELLING OF MULTI-SECTORAL ECONOMY
BASED ON THE INPUT–OUTPUT MODEL (EXAMPLE OF JAPANESE ECONOMY)
Abstract. The input–output scheme of the Japanese economy is considered as applied to systems analysis and modeling of the diversified economy of Japan (input–output table valued at producers’ prices, 37 aggregated industries, year 2015). The 107-industry input–output table of the Japanese economy has been aggregated to the dimension of 37 aggregated industries. This model is used for systems analysis and modeling of inter-sectoral relations of the Japanese economy in accordance with the traditionally used procedures for analyzing and modeling inter-sectoral relations. The coefficients of added value, import, impact, and recall are analyzed. The industries are classified (key ones, with direct impact, with inverse influence, etc.). The sectoral structure of GDP is defined. Conclusions on the possibility of using these methods of analysis and modeling regarding the economy of Ukraine and the prospects for further research have been prepared.
Keywords: input–output scheme, Japanese economy, sectoral structure of the economy, aggregated input–output table, types of economic activity, data aggregation, system analysis, modelling of inter-sectoral relations.
full text
REFERENCES
- 1990 Input–output tables for Japan. Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications JP. URL: https://www.soumu.go.jp/main_content/000449911.pdf .
- 2015 Input–output tables for Japan. Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications JP. URL: https://www.soumu.go.jp/main_content/000732915.pdf .
- 2015 Input–output tables for Japan. Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications JP. URL: www.soumu.go.jp/english/dgpp_ss/data/io/io15_00001.htm .
- Kuboniva M., Tabata M., Tabata S., Khasebe Yu. Mathematical economics on a personal computer [Russian translation]. Moscow: Finansy i statistika, 1991. 304 p.
- Rose A., Miernyk W. Input–output analysis: The first fifty years. Economic Systems Research. 1989. Vol. 1, Iss. 2. P. 229–272. https://doi.org/10.1080/09535318900000016.
- Dietzenbacher E., Lenzen M., Los B. et al. Input–output analysis: The next 25 years. Economic Systems Research. 2013. Vol. 25, Iss. 4. P. 369–389. https://doi.org/10.1080/09535314.2013.846902 .
- Leontief W.W. Quantitative input and output relations in the economic systems of the United States. The Review of Economic Statistics. 1936. Vol. 18, Iss. 3. P. 105–125. https://doi.org/10.2307/1927837 .
- Leontief W. Input-Output Economics. New York; Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1986. 449 p.
- Leontief W.W. Foreword to the Journal of the International Input–Output Association. Economic Systems Research. 1989. Vol. 1, Iss. 1. P. 3–4. https://doi.org/10.1080/09535318900000001.
- Suh S. (Ed.) Handbook of Input-Output Economics in Industrial Ecology (Vol. 23). Dordrecht: Springer Netherlands, 2009. 882 р. https://doi.org/10.1007/9781-4020-5737-3.
- Agatsuma N., Nakamura A., Nakamura Y. Structure of the Japanese economy in the year 2000. Economic Systems Research. 1989. Vol. 1, Iss. 1. Р. 69–86. https://doi.org/10.1080/09535318900000006.
- Gowdy J.M. Structural change in the USA and Japan: an extended input—output analysis. Economic Systems Research. 1991. Vol. 3, Iss. 4. P. 413–424. https://doi.org/10.1080/09535319100000030.
- Fujikawa K., Izumi H., Milana C. Multilateral comparison of cost structures in the input—output tables of Japan, the US and West Germany. Economic Systems Research. 1995. Vol. 7, Iss. 3. P. 321–342. https://doi.org/10.1080/09535319500000027.
- Nakano S., Arai S., Washizu A. Economic impacts of Japan's renewable energy sector and the feed-in tariff system: using an input—output table to analyze a next-generation energy system. Environmental Economics and Policy Studies. 2017. Vol. 19, Iss. 3. P. 555–580. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10018-016-0158-1.
- Nakano S., Washizu A. Creation and application of the 2015 input–output table for analysis of next-generation energy systems: Analysis of the effects of introducing carbon tax (No. 2103). Research Institute for Environmental Economics and Management, Waseda University. 2022. URL: http://www.waseda.jp/prj-rieem/dp/dp2103.pdf .
- Kohno H., Higano Y. Public Investment Criteria: Using an Interregional Input-Output Programming Model. New York: Springer, 2022. 510 р. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-4431-55221-5.
- Mahajan S. (Ed.). Handbook on Supply and Use Tables and Input-Output Tables with Extensions and Applications. New York: United Nations, 2018. 735 p.
- Remond-Tiedrez I., Rueda-Cantuche J.M. (Eds.). EU inter-country supply, use and input–output tables — Full international and global accounts for research in input–output analysis (FIGARO). Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union, 2019. 232 p.
- Temursho U., Cardenete M.A., Wojtowicz K., Rey Los Santos L., Weitze M., Vandyck T., Saveyn B. Projecting input–output tables for model baselines. EUR 30216 EN. Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union, 2020. https://doi.org/10.2760/5343.
- Input–output tables for Japan. Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications JP. URL: https://www.soumu.go.jp/english/dgpp_ss/data/io/index.htm .
- Kulyk V.V. Analysis of the sectoral structure of the economies of Japan and Ukraine within the framework of aggregated models "expenditure-output." Naukovi pratsi NDFI. 2020. N 3. P. 109–127.
- European system of accounts — ESA 2010. Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union, 2013.
- Kulyk V.V. Experience of Japan: System analysis and modeling of inter-industry relations. Finances of Ukraine. 2021. N 1. P. 83–102.
- Yastremsky O.I. Key and effective types of economic activity of Ukraine. Visnyk ekonomichnoyi nauky Ukrayiny. 2018. N 2. P. 177–182.
- Yastremskii O.I. . Input–output productivity–cost analysis of the economy of Ukraine: selected cross-countries and intertemporal comparison. Kibernetyka ta systemnyi Analiz. 2020. Vol. 56, № 4. P. 85–97.
- Nikaido H. Convex Structures and Economic Theory. New York; London: Academic Press, 1968. 405 p.
- Glushkov V. DISPLAN - a new planning technology. Upravlyayushchiye sistemy i mashiny. 1980. N 6. P.5-10.
- Rasmussen P.N. Studies in Inter-Sectoral Relations. Amsterdam: North-Holland, 1956.
- Ha N.H.P., Trinh B. Vietnam Economic Structure Change Based on Vietnam Input-Output Tables 2012 and 2016. Theoretical Economics Letters. 2018. Vol. 8, N 4. P. 699–708. https://doi.org/10.4236/tel.2018.84047.
- Gurgul H., Lach L. Key sectors after a decade of transition: Evidence from Poland. Managerial Economics. 2015. Vol. 16, N 1. P. 39–76 http://dx.doi.org/10.7494/manage.2015.16.1.39.