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Cybernetics And Systems Analysis
International Theoretical Science Journal
UDC 519.2
L.S. Stoikova

GREATEST LOWER BOUND OF SYSTEM FAILURE PROBABILITY IN A SPECIAL
TIME INTERVAL UNDER INCOMPLETE INFORMATION ABOUT THE DISTRIBUTION
FUNCTION OF THE TIME TO FAILURE OF SYSTEM

Abstract. The author solves the problem of finding exact lower bounds for the probability F (v) − F (u), 0<u <v <∞, where u = m − σ μ 33, v = m + σ μ 33, and σ μ is a fixed dispersion in the set of distribution functions F (x) of non-negative random variables with unimodal differentiable density with mode m and two first fixed moments μ1, μ2. The case is considered where the mode coincides with the first moment: m = μ1. The greatest lower bound of all possible exact lower bounds for this problem is obtained and it is nearly one, namely, is equal to 0.98430.

Keywords: extremum of a linear functional, the set of unimodal distribution functions with two first fixed moments, partition of the domain of parameters.



FULL TEXT

V. M. Glushkov Institute of Cybernetics, National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Kyiv, Ukraine,
e-mail: stojk@ukr.net.

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