UDC 519.21
1 V.M. Glushkov Institute of Cybernetics, National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Kyiv, Ukraine
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2 V.M. Glushkov Institute of Cybernetics, National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Kyiv, Ukraine
knopov1@yahoo.com
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STOCHASTIC MODELS IN THE PROBLEMS OF FORECASTING
THE EPIDEMIOLOGICAL SITUATION
Abstract. The paper investigates some stochastic models with discrete and continuous time to solve important
problems in predicting the spread of epidemiological diseases among the population.
Various factors of epidemic spread and the main parameters influencing the assessment of the forecast are taken into account.
Some test calculations based on the proposed methods have been performed.
Keywords: methods, optimization, modeling, stochastic equations, estimation, epidemic, discrete and continuous timee.
FULL TEXT
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